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Study · In silico · 2023

3 results

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of six GLP-1RAs for treatment of Chinese type 2 diabetes mellitus patients that inadequately controlled on metformin: a micro-simulation model.

Yuan S, Wu Y

Frontiers in public health6 Sept 2023Cited by 6 (Europe PMC)

Summary

ObjectiveTo systematically estimate and compare the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) approved in China and to quantify the relationship between the burden of diabetic comorbidities and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) or body mass index (BMI).MethodsTo estimate the costs (US dollars, USD) and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) for six GLP-1RAs (exenatide, loxenatide, lixisenatide, dulaglutide, semaglutide, and liraglutide) combined with metformin in the treatment of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) which is inadequately controlled on metformin from the Chinese healthcare system perspective, a discrete event microsimulation cost-effectiveness model based on the Chinese Hong Kong Integrated Modeling and Evaluation (CHIME) simulation model was developed. A cohort of 30,000 Chinese patients was established, and one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) with 50,000 iterations were conducted considering parameter uncertainty. Scenario analysis was conducted considering the impacts of research time limits. A network meta-analysis was conducted to compare the effects of six GLP-1RAs on HbA1c, BMI, systolic blood pressure, and diastolic blood pressure. The incremental net monetary benefit (INMB) between therapies was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness. China's per capita GDP in 2021 was used as the willingness-to-pay threshold. A generalized linear model was used to quantify the relationship between the burden of diabetic comorbidities and HbA1c or BMI.ResultsDuring a lifetime, the cost for a patient ranged from USD 42,092 with loxenatide to USD 47,026 with liraglutide, while the QALY gained ranged from 12.50 with dulaglutide to 12.65 with loxenatide. Compared to exenatide, the INMB of each drug from highest to lowest were: loxenatide (USD 1,124), dulaglutide (USD -1,418), lixisenatide (USD -1,713), semaglutide (USD -4,298), and liraglutide (USD -4,672). Loxenatide was better than the other GLP-1RAs in the base-case analysis. Sensitivity and scenario analysis results were consistent with the base-case analysis. Overall, the price of GLP-1RAs most affected the results. Medications with effective control of HbA1c or BMI were associated with a significantly smaller disease burden (p < 0.05).ConclusionLoxenatide combined with metformin was identified as the most economical choice, while the long-term health benefits of patients taking the six GLP-1RAs are approximate.
CC BYText from Europe PMC. Highlighted sentences are the source of results.

Results from this study3

3 results from studies that gave the peptide. No result from this study comes from people.

  1. 01Computer modelIn silicoOther

    In a simulated cohort of Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes inadequately controlled on metformin, liraglutide had the highest lifetime cost per patient of six GLP-1RAs, USD 47,026.

    In plain wordsIn a computer model, liraglutide had the highest lifetime cost of the six drugs compared.

    Outcome
    Not applicableLifetime cost per patient
    Study

    n = 30,000

    Discrete event microsimulation model based on CHIME
    Comparator
    Other five GLP-1RAs
    Outcome group
    Cost-effectiveness · Whole body
    Studied dose
    Dose not stated

    Measurements

    Lifetime cost per patient
    47,026 USD
    liraglutide

    Source sentences

    Summary
    During a lifetime, the cost for a patient ranged from USD 42,092 with loxenatide to USD 47,026 with liraglutide
    2 context sentences
    Summary · context
    patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) which is inadequately controlled on metformin
    Summary · context
    A cohort of 30,000 Chinese patients was established, and one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) with 50,000 iterations were conducted considering parameter uncertainty.
  2. 02Computer modelIn silicoOther

    In a simulated cohort of Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes on metformin, liraglutide had a lower incremental net monetary benefit than exenatide (USD -4,672), the lowest of the five drugs compared with exenatide.

    In plain wordsIn a computer simulation, liraglutide gave less net monetary benefit than exenatide, the lowest of the drugs compared.

    Outcome
    DecreaseIncremental net monetary benefit versus exenatide
    Study

    n = 30,000

    Discrete event microsimulation model based on CHIME
    Comparator
    Exenatide
    Outcome group
    Cost-effectiveness · Whole body
    Studied dose
    Dose not stated

    Measurements

    INMB versus exenatide
    −4672 USD
    liraglutide

    Source sentences

    Summary
    Compared to exenatide, the INMB of each drug from highest to lowest were: loxenatide (USD 1,124), dulaglutide (USD -1,418), lixisenatide (USD -1,713), semaglutide (USD -4,298), and liraglutide (USD -4,672).
    2 context sentences
    Summary · context
    patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) which is inadequately controlled on metformin
    Summary · context
    A cohort of 30,000 Chinese patients was established, and one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) with 50,000 iterations were conducted considering parameter uncertainty.
  3. 03Computer modelIn silicoOther

    In a simulated cohort of Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes on metformin, semaglutide had a lower incremental net monetary benefit than exenatide (USD -4,298).

    In plain wordsIn a computer simulation, semaglutide gave less net monetary benefit than exenatide.

    Outcome
    DecreaseIncremental net monetary benefit versus exenatide
    Study

    n = 30,000

    Discrete event microsimulation model based on CHIME
    Comparator
    Exenatide
    Outcome group
    Cost-effectiveness · Whole body
    Studied dose
    Dose not stated

    Measurements

    INMB versus exenatide
    −4298 USD
    semaglutide

    Source sentences

    Summary
    Compared to exenatide, the INMB of each drug from highest to lowest were: loxenatide (USD 1,124), dulaglutide (USD -1,418), lixisenatide (USD -1,713), semaglutide (USD -4,298), and liraglutide (USD -4,672).
    2 context sentences
    Summary · context
    patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) which is inadequately controlled on metformin
    Summary · context
    A cohort of 30,000 Chinese patients was established, and one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) with 50,000 iterations were conducted considering parameter uncertainty.

AI wrote and checked these results. AI can make mistakes, so check important results against the source.

Version history

PepBank keeps every version of the data on this study. Status changes from Retraction Watch, Europe PMC and Crossref are listed with their source.

  1. Version 4Current

    27 Oct 2026, 16:36 UTC

    Study data updated · source update from Europe PMC

  2. Version 3

    12 Oct 2026, 11:11 UTC

    Study results updated

  3. Version 2

    9 Oct 2026, 03:06 UTC

    Study data updated · source update from Europe PMC

  4. Version 1

    9 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC

    First added · source update from Europe PMC

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