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Trial · Observational

CompletedPhase not statedResults postedRegistry data

Second-line Therapies for Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Moderate Cardiovascular Disease Risk

Overview

Status
Completed
Phase
Phase not stated
Enrollment
386,301 participants (actual)
Sponsor
Mayo Clinic · Other
Design
Not stated
Countries
1 country

United States

Start
1 Dec 2021
Primary completion
30 Sept 2023
Completion
22 Jul 2025
First posted
28 Jan 2022
Last update posted
10 Oct 2025
Conditions
Type 2 Diabetes · Cardiac Disease

Timeline

1 trial · 1 completed · 1 with posted results

  • Completed
  • Ongoing
  • Not yet recruiting
  • Stopped
  • Estimated dates (est.)
  • Results posted
202120222023202420252026
  1. Ph –

    Second-line Therapies for Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Moderate Cardiovascular Disease Risk

    NCT05214573

    1 Dec 2021 to 22 Jul 2025

Registry summary

Text and fields below are the sponsor's entries at ClinicalTrials.gov, shown as posted.

We will use the target trial framework for causal inference to conduct this observational retrospective cohort study that uses claims data of adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) included in the de-identified datasets of OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service. In Aim 1, we will emulate a target trial comparing the effectiveness of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i), and sulfonylureas (SU) in adults with T2D at moderate risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with regard to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), expanded MACE, microvascular complications, severe hypoglycemia, and other adverse events. In Aim 2, we will compare these four drug classes in the same population of adults with T2D included in OLDW and Medicare fee-for-service data with respect to a set of composite outcomes identified by a group of patients with T2D as being most important to them. Specifically, in Aim 2A, we will prospectively elicit patient preferences toward various treatment outcomes (e.g., hospitalization, kidney disease) using a participatory ranking exercise, then use these rankings to generate individually weighted composite outcomes. Then, in Aim 2B, we will estimate patient-centered treatment effects of four different second-line T2D medications that reflect the patient's value for each outcome. In Aim 3, we will compare different medications within each of the four therapeutic classes with respect to MACE.

Interventions

  • Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonistDrug
  • Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitorDrug
  • Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 InhibitorDrug
  • SulfonylureaDrug

Arms2

  • Other

    Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups

    De-identified administrative claims with linked laboratory results, electronic health record (EHR), and mortality data from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service data (Medicare parts A, B, D) will be utilized to identify adults (≥21 years) with T2D (established using validated Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set criteria) who first filled any study drug GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU between 1/1/2014-12/31/2021. This arm was exempt from Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board review and informed consent requirements were not applicable as this arm used deidentified administrative claims data.

  • Other

    Aim 2A Group

    Adults with Type 2 diabetes treated with one or more of the study medications (GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU) and not treated with insulin who receive medical care at Mayo Clinic Rochester or Mayo Clinic Health System in Minnesota or Wisconsin. This arm was not exempt from Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board review and informed consent requirements were applicable as this arm collected prospective data.

Primary outcomes3

Outcomes the sponsor listed as primary.

  1. 3-point Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event (MACE)

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of 3-point MACEs experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU) defined as non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal stroke, and mortality. The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  2. Expanded Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) and Its Components

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of 3-point MACEs (non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke, mortality) plus heart failure hospitalization and revascularization procedure events experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  3. Patient Preferences for Second-line Type 2 Diabetes Medication Treatment Outcomes

    Time frame · 1 hour

    Registry description

    Patients ranked treatment outcomes using a participatory ranking questionnaire. The questionnaire included a list of 16 health outcomes and eight medication attributes, with opportunities for participants to add outcomes and attributes into the ranking lists. During the exercise, participants were asked to assign each outcome and attribute to one of three mutually exclusive categories: "very important," "somewhat important," or "not very important," based on the degree to which each outcome or attribute would influence their choice of medication. Results shown below reflect the health outcomes/medication attributes that were ranked "very important" by patients.

Secondary outcomes(7)
  1. Non-fatal Myocardial Infarction (MI)

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of a non-fatal MI experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  2. Non-fatal Stroke Events

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of non-fatal stroke events experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  3. All-cause Mortality

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of all-cause mortality events experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  4. Severe Hypoglycemia

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of emergency department visits or hospitalization for hypoglycemia experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  5. Incident End-stage Kidney Disease

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of a new diagnosis of stage 5 or end-stage kidney disease experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  6. Treatment for Diabetic Retinopathy or Macular Edema

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of treatment for diabetic retinopathy and/or macular edema experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

  7. Lower Extremity Complications

    Time frame · Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

    Registry description

    The probability of foot and/or leg amputation, osteomyelitis, ulcer, abscess or Charcot arthropathy experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

Posted results

Values are shown as posted at ClinicalTrials.gov, with their units. PepBank has not converted, pooled or compared them.

Primary outcome results

Primary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

3-point Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event (MACE)

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.87
Primary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

Expanded Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) and Its Components

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.95
Primary outcomeCount of participants· 1 hour

Patient Preferences for Second-line Type 2 Diabetes Medication Treatment Outcomes

GroupValue (Participants)
Aim 2A Group2
Secondary and other outcome results(5)
Secondary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

Non-fatal Myocardial Infarction (MI)

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.89
Secondary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

Non-fatal Stroke Events

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.89
Secondary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

All-cause Mortality

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.86
Secondary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

Severe Hypoglycemia

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.63
Secondary outcomeNumber· Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

Incident End-stage Kidney Disease

GroupValue (Hazard Ratio)
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 Groups0.65

Adverse events, as posted

Adverse events as posted: participants affected out of participants at risk, by group
GroupDeathsSerious eventsOther events
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 GroupsDe-identified administrative claims with linked laboratory results, electronic health record (EHR), and mortality data from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service data (Medicare parts A, B, D) were utilized to identify adults (≥21 years) with T2D (established using validated Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set criteria) who first filled any study drug GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU between 1/1/2014-12/31/2021. The arm was exempt from Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board review and informed consent requirements were not applicable as this arm used deidentified administrative claims data. Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonist: Patients in the data who filled a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist medication Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor: Patients in the data who filled a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitor: Patients in the data who filled a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor Sulfonylurea: Patients in the data who filled a sulfonylurea22,208 / 386,27640,642 / 386,27662,982 / 386,276
Aim 2A GroupAdults with Type 2 diabetes treated with one or more of the study medications (GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU) and not treated with insulin who received medical care at Mayo Clinic Rochester or Mayo Clinic Health System in Minnesota or Wisconsin. This arm was not exempt from Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board review and informed consent requirements were applicable as this arm collected prospective data.0 / 250 / 250 / 25

Each cell reads participants affected / participants at risk, as the registry posted them.

Registry data comes from ClinicalTrials.gov. Study results come from studies, not from the registry. How PepBank works

Studies0

Studies that cite this trial.

No study cites this trial.

Other registry references

References listed at the registry that are not in PepBank. They link to PubMed.

  • DerivedSklepinski S, Ratzki-Leewing AA, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Deng Y, Polley EC, Neumiller JJ, Galindo RJ, Umpierrez GE, Ross JS, Brito JP, Montori VM, Mickelson MM, McCoy RG. Comparative effectiveness of sulfonylureas on kidney outcomes in adults with type 2 diabetes and moderate cardiovascular risk: a target trial emulation. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2026 May 21;14(3):e005775. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2025-005775. PMID 42167878
  • DerivedBrito JP, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Singh Ospina NM, Montori VM, Toro-Tobon D, Umpierrez GE, Galindo RJ, Deng Y, Mickelson MM, Shao H, Polley EC, McCoy RG. GLP-1RA Use and Thyroid Cancer Risk. JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2025 Mar 1;151(3):243-252. doi: 10.1001/jamaoto.2024.4852. PMID 39847346
  • DerivedNeumiller JJ, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Polley EC, Galindo RJ, Umpierrez GE, Deng Y, Ross JS, Mickelson MM, McCoy RG. Kidney Outcomes with Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists, Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors, Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 Inhibitors, and Sulfonylureas in Type 2 Diabetes and Moderate Cardiovascular Risk. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2025 Feb 1;20(2):206-217. doi: 10.2215/CJN.0000000587. Epub 2024 Oct 8. PMID 39729347
  • DerivedMcCoy RG, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Deng Y, Kent DM, Ross JS, Umpierrez GE, Galindo RJ, Crown WH, Borah BJ, Montori VM, Brito JP, Neumiller JJ, Mickelson MM, Polley EC. Effectiveness of glucose-lowering medications on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk. Nat Cardiovasc Res. 2024 Apr;3(4):431-440. doi: 10.1038/s44161-024-00453-9. Epub 2024 Apr 3. PMID 38846711

Eligibility

Who could join, as posted.

Sex
All
Age
from 21 Years
Healthy volunteers
Not accepted
Inclusion and exclusion criteria, as posted
Inclusion Criteria for all Aims * ≥ 21 years old. * Diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes. * Use of ≥ 1 study drug (GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, SU). Exclusion Criteria for Aims 1, 2B, 3 * Fill for any study drug during the baseline period or simultaneous (within 30 days) start of ≥2 study drugs * Insulin use * Type 1 diabetes * High risk of CVD * Pregnancy * Metastatic cancer Exclusion Criteria for Aim 2A * Insulin use. * Cognitive impairment. * Terminal or advanced illness. * Non-English speaking. * Residency in a long-term care setting.

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